- South-western elementaries: Priscilla Godfrey wants to broaden the Middleburg ES attendance area in order to make the school more viable. Risk: Middleburg could actually become overpopulated and overflow children in a few years. My guess: Priscilla represents this area, the board will grant her request.
- North-western elementaries: Godfrey and Jennifer Bergel came together on a plan to keep two north-of-Rt-9 zones in their current schools, anticipating that they will go to a new north-of-Rt-9 elementary school in about 4 years. Risk: Culbert Elementary school opens noticably under capacity. My guess: The Board will defer to Godfrey & Bergel.
- Leesburg Elementaries: A Leesburg elementary school is overdue and six of the eight are already overcrowded. Of the remaining two, Balls Bluff is at 97% capacity, and it along with
The two which are underenrolled Balls Bluff andCatoctin have the highest numbers of students from poor (qualifying for free & reduced lunch) and non-english-speaking (ESL) families. SOL achievement scores are nearly identical, even between the richest and poorest schools and staff recommends no changes. Involved parents at the schools with high numbers of F&RL and ESL kids want those kids spread around to other schools. Parents at the other schools are quite happy with their schools as they are, thank you very much. Players: Bergel & Marshall want to keep the status quo... don't shuffle kids unless there is a pressing need, and SOLs indicate that there is not a pressing need. Reed wants to do a bit of balancing, but proposed a plan that does so by moving FR&L and ESL kids out of Balls Bluff and Catoctinthe underenrolled schools. The third option: move affluent kids into poorer schools to give them a boost of fundraising and parent volunteers. My guess: The Board will be reluctant to move kids before opening a new school unless there is solid data that educational outcomes are suffering. - Dulles South Elementaries: Robert DuPree and Tom Reed have a minor modification to the staff plan. Risks: There aren't any really good options available. The ES slated for Moorefield Station will be delayed and make the situation worse before it gets better. My guess: The Board will defer to the request of the area's representatives.
- Ashburn Elementaries: With no new schools opening in the area, staff recommends no change. No Board members have alternative plans. Bob Ohneiser took the opportunity to lament the situation and open old wounds. My guess: It's a safe bet there will be no changes here.
- Dulles South Middle Schools: The area desperately needs a new Middle School, which was delayed a year while the Board of Supervisors waited for a land bargain. That land is now under contract and the approval process has been fast-tracked. I can't remember whether DuPree had an alternative plan for this area while we wait for the new school, but if he does the Board will support it.
- Leesburg/Ashburn High Schools: This is a major dispute about whether Lansdowne or Ashburn Farm gets to stay at Stone Bridge. There isn't room for both. So either Lansdowne has to go to Tuscarora in Leesburg or Ashburn Farm has to go to Briar Woods. Players: Reed proposed a plan sending Lansdowne to Tuscarora, DuPree and Geurin clearly showed a preference for it. Bergel & Marshall want to keep the Tuscarora space open for Leesburg and prevent a future space squeeze there. Ohneiser is backing his Lansdowne constituents who want to stay at Stone Bridge. Godfrey was quiet but can be relied on by her Reed & Co. allies. The Board of Supervisors are insistent on enrollment-balancing, which will mean backing the Reed plan. The exceptions among the Supervisors are Lori Waters, also siding with her Lansdowne neighbors, and possibly Leesburg's Kelly Burk. Risks: The risks revolve entirely around whether a new high school can be sited up near Route 7 and just west of Route 28 in the next couple of years. This idea emerged just in the last couple of weeks. If so, Lansdowne could go to Tuscarora for a while until the new school is available. If not, the Lansdowne kids will need to move out of Tuscarora when Tuscarora fills with Leesburg kids and drive past three High Schools to HS-6, due to open in 2014. The School Board risks the wrath of the Supervisors if we don't balance enrollment, but by sending Lansdowne kids to Leesburg the Supervisors are then on the hook to pull a new High School property out of the hat from some of the most expensive acreage in the county, and fast. My guess: is as good as yours.
Friday, April 17, 2009
Boundary Work Session Report
Author:
John Stevens
The board held a grueling 5-hour work session last night in advance of a April 28th boundary vote. My attempt at a quick summary:
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